Problem solved in full
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An alien astronomer watching the transit our planet actually produces 5 steps
Could an alien astronomer, watching from another star, discover the Earth? Work out the transit our planet actually produces, and then the odds that anybody is positioned to see it.
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Transit depth is pure geometry — the fraction of the stellar disc the planet covers, which is the ratio of the two areas. Earth against the Sun comes to 84 parts per million: a hundredth of one per cent of dimming.
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The orbital distance follows from Kepler's third law with the star's mass, and returns 1 AU. That is the check that this is the Earth being modelled and not merely something Earth-like.
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The duration is the time taken to cross the disc — the fraction of the orbit spanned by the star's diameter. Thirteen hours, once a year.
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Now the step that governs the whole field. A transit happens only if the orbit is edge-on as seen from the observer, to within R★/a of exactly edge-on. That is 0.465%.
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So the alien has to be one of roughly 1 observer in 215 placed correctly, then needs photometry good to one part in twelve thousand, then has to watch for years to catch a repeat. A hot Jupiter is 121 times deeper and transits every few days.
Answer
The tool prints 84 ppm, a 12.97-hour transit, 1.00 AU and a density of 5.51 g/cm³. The figure it does not print is the one that shapes the catalogue: a randomly placed observer has about a 1-in-215 chance of seeing any transit at all. Multiply that by the depth and it is obvious why the first transiting planets found were all hot Jupiters — 1% deep, and a fresh transit every three days. The selection effect is not a footnote to the exoplanet census; it is most of its shape. Click the hot-Jupiter preset and compare the two depths directly.
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References (4)
- Where the depth-to-radius relation and the light-curve geometry come from: S. Seager & G. Mallén-Ornelas, "A Unique Solution of Planet and Star Parameters from an Extrasolar Planet Transit Light Curve." The Astrophysical Journal 585, 1038–1055, 2003.
- The first planetary transit ever observed — HD 209458 b, reported alongside Henry et al. in the same issue: D. Charbonneau, T. M. Brown, D. W. Latham & M. Mayor, "Detection of Planetary Transits Across a Sun-like Star." The Astrophysical Journal 529, L45–L48, 2000.
- The mission behind the catalogue this tool’s first block describes: W. J. Borucki et al., "Kepler Planet-Detection Mission: Introduction and First Results." Science 327, 977–980, 2010.
- The retrograde hot Jupiter named in the Rossiter–McLaughlin block: D. R. Anderson et al., "WASP-17b: An Ultra-Low Density Planet in a Probable Retrograde Orbit." The Astrophysical Journal 709, 159–167, 2010.