Problem solved in full
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A Carbon-14 sample sitting for five 5730 years half-life 5 steps
Carbon-14 has a half-life of 5730 years; a sample has been sitting for five of them. Find what is left, and find where this smooth exponential stops describing anything real.
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The decay constant is not the half-life — it is the probability per year that any one nucleus decays, and the two are related by ln 2 because that is the factor a half-life removes.
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Five half-lives is five halvings. The fraction left is a power of a half, and the exponential form gives the same number.
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From a thousand nuclei, 31.25 remain. And there is the problem: a quarter of a nucleus does not exist, and the smooth curve has quietly stopped being a description of the sample.
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What actually remains is a random number with a mean near 31. Decay is a Poisson process, so the spread is the square root of the count — about ±18% on a single measurement, and there is no averaging it away without more sample.
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The elapsed time is five half-lives, or 28,650 years. Double that and only one nucleus in a thousand is left, which is why radiocarbon dating runs out around fifty thousand years — not because the physics changes, but because the signal falls below what can be distinguished from contamination.
Answer
The tool prints λ = 1.21 × 10⁻⁴ per year, 3.125% remaining, 31.25 nuclei and an elapsed time of 28,650 years. Steps 3 and 4 are where a physics answer becomes a laboratory one. Exponential decay is an average over a population, and its accuracy comes from the population being astronomically large — a gram of carbon holds about 5 × 10²² atoms, so the fluctuations are invisible. Run the same law down to tens of nuclei and the noise is the answer, which is the reason a dating laboratory quotes an uncertainty in years rather than a date.
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Learning path
Clocks in the rock
References (2)
- The decay rate that is not quite constant, in the third block: T. Ohtsuki, H. Yuki, M. Muto, J. Kasagi and K. Ohno, "Enhanced Electron-Capture Decay Rate of ⁷Be Encapsulated in C₆₀ Cages." Physical Review Letters 93(11), 112501, 2004.
- The U-238 chain, its 14 steps and their half-lives: National Nuclear Data Center, Brookhaven National Laboratory — Evaluated Nuclear Structure Data File (ENSDF).